
542 
FNUS54 KMRX 131618 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1118 AM EST SUN FEB 13 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A DRY AND TRANQUIL WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH THE WEEK...WITH A WARMING TREND BRINGING 
WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

THESE WARM TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER WILL BRING A SLIGHT
INCREASE IN FIRE DANGER...ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS EACH
DAY. STRONGEST WESTERLY WINDS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON...OVERNIGHT
AND INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON...ADDING TO THE FIRE DANGER.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-141730-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1118 AM EST SUN FEB 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+13)  29-34 (+6)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-10)  69-74 (-9)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G26                 SW 14 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G27    SW 11 G22    W 13 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      W 39         
DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               72 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-141730-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1118 AM EST SUN FEB 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+12)  28-33 (+6)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-7)   74-79 (-5)   26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G27                 W 15 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G29     SW  9 G20    W 17 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 39         
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 29. NORTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LESS THAN
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-141730-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1118 AM EST SUN FEB 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+12)  28-33 (+6)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-9)   72-77 (-6)   19-24        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G29                 SW 15 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 16 G31    SW 11 G24    W 14 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W 35         
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 29. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER
30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-141730-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1118 AM EST SUN FEB 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+10)  30-35 (+6)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-8)   77-82 (-1)   22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G15                 SW 11 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    SW  8 G17    W 12         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W 30         
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               68 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 28. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-141730-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1118 AM EST SUN FEB 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+10)  28-33 (+6)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-7)   76-81 (-3)   19-24        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W 10 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G16    SW  6        W 13         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W 31         
DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               72 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 27. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-141730-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1118 AM EST SUN FEB 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+12)  29-34 (+6)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-7)   74-79 (-3)   27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G21                 SW 13 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G22    SW  8 G16    W 14 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 38         
DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               100 GOOD     

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-141730-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1118 AM EST SUN FEB 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+12)  31-36 (+6)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-8)   77-82 (-1)   29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G19                 SW 11 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G20    SW  9 G20    W 12 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     W 33         
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   87 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-141730-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1118 AM EST SUN FEB 13 2011 /1018 AM CST SUN FEB 13 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+12)  31-36 (+6)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-9)   77-82 (-3)   26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G16                 SW 10 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    SW  8 G18    W 11         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 31         
DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               82 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG

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