
255 
FNUS54 KMRX 121946
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
246 PM EST SAT FEB 12 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A DRY AND TRANQUIL WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH NEXT WEEK. A WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP 
THIS WEEKEND...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS FOR 
MOST OF NEXT WEEK. 

THE DRY CONDITIONS AND BREEZY WESTERLY WINDS WILL PRODUCE AN
INCREASED FIRE DANGER ON SUNDAY. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-132100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
246 PM EST SAT FEB 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+4)   51-56 (+10)  31-36        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+2)   26-31 (-9)   68-73        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G23                 SW  9 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         SW 13 G24    SW  9 G20    W 11 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 39                      W 28         
DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                   60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-132100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
246 PM EST SAT FEB 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+4)   50-55 (+10)  26-31        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-2)   20-25 (-13)  74-79        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G22                 W 13 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G18     W 13 G24     SW  9 G20    W 15 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 37                      W 30         
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               81 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-132100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
246 PM EST SAT FEB 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+6)   50-55 (+9)   24-29        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-3)   15-20 (-19)  72-77        18-23        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G23                 SW 13 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         SW 14 G25    SW 11 G24    W 13 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 32                      W 24         
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER
30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-132100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
246 PM EST SAT FEB 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+5)   56-61 (+10)  25-30        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+6)   18-23 (-13)  80-85        22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G17                 SW  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G20    SW  8 G17    W 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      NW 17        
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-132100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
246 PM EST SAT FEB 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+6)   57-62 (+11)  23-28        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-6)   15-20 (-15)  78-83        18-23        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G19     SW  5        W 10 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      NW 20        
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               60 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          2                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-132100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
246 PM EST SAT FEB 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+4)   53-58 (+9)   29-34        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+2)   23-28 (-8)   74-79        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G21                 SW  9 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         SW 13 G24    SW  8 G16    W 12 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 36                      W 24         
DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-132100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
246 PM EST SAT FEB 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+6)   54-59 (+9)   29-34        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+8)   25-30 (-6)   76-81        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G21                 SW  8 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 13 G22    SW  8 G19    W 10 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 35                      W 18         
DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-132100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
246 PM EST SAT FEB 12 2011 /146 PM CST SAT FEB 12 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+6)   57-62 (+10)  29-34        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+9)   23-28 (-8)   78-83        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G18                 SW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G20    SW  7 G17    W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 31                      NW 17        
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG

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