
961 
FNUS54 KMRX 121618 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1118 AM EST SAT FEB 12 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A DRY AND TRANQUIL WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH NEXT WEEK. A WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP 
THIS WEEKEND...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS FOR 
MOST OF NEXT WEEK.

THE DRY AND WARMER CONDITIONS...COUPLED WITH STRONGER WESTERLY
WINDS ON SUNDAY...COULD BRING A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FIRE DANGER.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-131730-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1118 AM EST SAT FEB 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+1)   23-28 (+4)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+8)   73-78 (+11)  29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G19                  SW 12 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     W  6         SW 15 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      W 39         
DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   79 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST LESS THAN
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-131730-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1118 AM EST SAT FEB 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+2)   22-27 (+5)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+4)   74-79 (+11)  23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G21                  SW 12 G27    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     W  8 G18     W 15 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      W 37         
DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-131730-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1118 AM EST SAT FEB 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+4)   23-28 (+7)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-2)   73-78 (+10)  16-21        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G19                  SW 13 G27    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     W  7         SW 14 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 32         
DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 29. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-131730-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1118 AM EST SAT FEB 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+4)   25-30 (+7)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-5)   78-83 (+14)  20-25        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      SW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      SW 11 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     W 29         
DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 29. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-131730-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1118 AM EST SAT FEB 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+4)   23-28 (+7)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-13)  77-82 (0)    16-21        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      SW  7 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      W 12 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 24                     W 29         
DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               56 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             2                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 27. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-131730-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1118 AM EST SAT FEB 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   24-29 (+5)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+5)   76-81 (+14)  26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G18                  SW 11 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     W  5         SW 14 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 36         
DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   68 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-131730-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1118 AM EST SAT FEB 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+4)   26-31 (+7)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (+5)   76-81 (+13)  28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7                      SW 11 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         LGT/VAR      SW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W 35         
DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-131730-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1118 AM EST SAT FEB 12 2011 /1018 AM CST SAT FEB 12 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+5)   27-32 (+7)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+9)   78-83 (+16)  26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G15                  SW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      SW 12 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     W 31         
DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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