
096 
FNUS54 KMRX 090835
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EST WED FEB 9 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ALONG THE GULF COASTAL REGION 
TODAY...WITH ITS ASSOCIATED MOISTURE SPREADING NORTHWARD OVER THE 
TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. 
LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING ACROSS 
MOST OF THE REGION. A WARMING TREND WILL THEN DEVELOP BY THE END OF 
THE WEEK...AND CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK WITH ABOVE NORMAL 
TEMPERATURES.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-100845-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EST WED FEB 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+4)   18-23 (+5)   31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-6)   76-81 (-6)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.16         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     NW 10        
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 14. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 22. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-100845-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST WED FEB 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+5)   19-24 (+7)   30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-10)  77-82 (-5)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.17         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     NW 12        
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 17. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-100845-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EST WED FEB 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+7)   18-23 (+5)   30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-11)  76-81 (-5)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.17         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     N  8         
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 19. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 25. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 
MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 
MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 
MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-100845-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST WED FEB 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+5)   20-25 (+5)   33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-8)   75-80 (-6)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.16         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     N 12         
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE TEENS. WEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 24. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-100845-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST WED FEB 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+4)   20-25 (+5)   33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-6)   75-80 (-7)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.14         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     N 10         
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   25 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 16. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-100845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EST WED FEB 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+4)   20-25 (+6)   33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-4)   75-80 (-9)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.18         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     NW  8        
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE TEENS. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-100845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EST WED FEB 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+6)   20-25 (+4)   34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-7)   75-80 (-7)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.17         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     N  8         
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE TEENS. NORTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-100845-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EST WED FEB 9 2011 /500 AM CST WED FEB 9 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+7)   21-26 (+3)   35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-10)  75-80 (-9)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  7 G18     N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.17         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     N 12         
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE TEENS. WEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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