
154 
FNUS54 KMRX 071945
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
245 PM EST MON FEB 7 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL SWING THROUGH THE REGION THIS EVENING.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA ON TUESDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-082045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
245 PM EST MON FEB 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-4)   28-33 (-17)  15-20        29-34        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-1)   45-50 (-9)   78-83        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G20                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G19     NW 12 G21    NW  6 G18    W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       5                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     W  8         
DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 19. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-082045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST MON FEB 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-4)   28-33 (-15)  14-19        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+5)   42-47 (-9)   77-82        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 15 G28                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G21    NW 14 G27    NW  8 G25    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 29                     W  8         
DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 18 TO 25. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 20. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ072-074-082045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
245 PM EST MON FEB 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-5)   31-36 (-10)  15-20        35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+13)  31-36 (-24)  84-89        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G21                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     NW 10 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     SW  8        
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 17 TO 26. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 21. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ087-102-082045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST MON FEB 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-1)   36-41 (-9)   19-24        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+10)  30-35 (-25)  78-83        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G18                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     NW  9        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     SW  7        
DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY OR CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
20S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

NCZ060-061-082045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST MON FEB 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+2)   38-43 (-6)   19-24        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+5)   25-30 (-33)  78-83        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G21                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G23     NW 11 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            1 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     SW  9        
DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   21 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY OR CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
20S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-082045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
245 PM EST MON FEB 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-1)   32-37 (-15)  16-21        33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-8)   42-47 (-8)   82-87        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G19                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G19     NW 12 G21    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       5                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   1 PM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     W  6         
DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 19 TO 25. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-082045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
245 PM EST MON FEB 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-3)   34-39 (-14)  18-23        35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   39-44 (-7)   77-82        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G23     NW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   1 PM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NW  6        
DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-082045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
245 PM EST MON FEB 7 2011 /145 PM CST MON FEB 7 2011/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-3)   36-41 (-12)  20-25        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-3)   33-38 (-15)  73-78        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G26     NW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   1 PM         
PRECIP END            1 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     S  6         
DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY OR CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
20S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

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