
509 
FNUS54 KMRX 061940
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
240 PM EST SUN FEB 6 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL SWING THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY AFTERNOON AND 
EVENING...THEN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA ON TUESDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-072045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
240 PM EST SUN FEB 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+4)   47-52 (+6)   21-26        28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-2)   46-51 (-5)   85-90        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         NW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.09         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      NW 18        
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 19 TO 27. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-072045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
240 PM EST SUN FEB 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+5)   45-50 (+6)   21-26        28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-8)   44-49 (-5)   84-89        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 11 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      NW 11 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           70           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.08         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 17                      NW 21        
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 18 TO 29. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-072045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
240 PM EST SUN FEB 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+6)   43-48 (+1)   22-27        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-13)  45-50 (+3)   83-88        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  6 G16    N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.05         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 17                      NW 14        
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 21. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS
TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-072045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
240 PM EST SUN FEB 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+4)   48-53 (+2)   25-30        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-2)   43-48 (+3)   87-92        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        SW  8 G16    N  8         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      N 15         
DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 22. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN OR SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-072045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
240 PM EST SUN FEB 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+3)   49-54 (+3)   27-32        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  43-48 (+2)   86-91        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N 10 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G18    N  8 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      N 16         
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 22. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN OR SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-072045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
240 PM EST SUN FEB 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+2)   48-53 (+6)   23-28        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (0)    41-46 (-5)   82-87        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      NW 14        
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 20. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-072045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
240 PM EST SUN FEB 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+4)   47-52 (+1)   24-29        34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-7)   42-47 (+2)   79-84        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G17     N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      NW 13        
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 22. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-072045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
240 PM EST SUN FEB 6 2011 /140 PM CST SUN FEB 6 2011/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+4)   49-54 (+1)   24-29        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-4)   42-47 (+6)   76-81        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  8         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        W 11 G24     N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      N 13         
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN OR SNOW LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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