
503 
FNUS54 KMRX 052033
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
333 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL SWING ACROSS THE UPPER TENNESSEE VALLEY 
TODAY.  GUSTY WINDS WILL SUBSIDE THIS EVENING.  MUCH OF THE AREA 
WILL START OUT WITH LOTS OF SUN ON SUNDAY...BUT HIGH CLOUDS WILL BE 
MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST DURING THE AFTERNOON.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-062145-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
333 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-10)  44-49 (+3)   30-35        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-9)   43-48 (-8)   75-80        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G19     SW  6        SW  5        SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      SW 15        
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 18 TO
28. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 23. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-062145-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
333 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-13)  44-49 (+1)   26-31        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-3)   40-45 (-4)   79-84        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G23     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      SW 13        
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 18 TO
28. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 22. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS
IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-062145-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
333 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-15)  46-51 (+7)   25-30        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-6)   30-35 (-19)  83-88        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G17     SW  5        S  5         S  8 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      S 15         
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 15 TO
29. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 12 TO 23. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS
IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-062145-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
333 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-12)  49-54 (+9)   26-31        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-7)   32-37 (-20)  95-100       47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        S  5         S  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      S 18         
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 25. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS AROUND
14. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-062145-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
333 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-13)  50-55 (+7)   25-30        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-8)   31-36 (-15)  95-100       44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      S 17         
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   36 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 24. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS AROUND
14. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-062145-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
333 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-10)  46-51 (+5)   27-32        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-6)   41-46 (-12)  85-90        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G19     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      SW 12        
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 23. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-062145-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
333 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-11)  48-53 (+13)  28-33        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   38-43 (-23)  86-91        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        S  5         S  8 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     SW 17        
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS
IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-062145-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
333 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 /233 PM CST SAT FEB 5 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-11)  49-54 (+15)  29-34        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  36-41 (-27)  93-98        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        S  5         S  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     S 20         
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 25. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS
IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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