
978 
FNUS54 KMRX 041936
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
236 PM EST FRI FEB 4 2011

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL SWING ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND 
SATURDAY.  WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTROL OUR WEATHER FOR 
SUNDAY.    


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-052045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
236 PM EST FRI FEB 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+8)   41-46 (+1)   22-27        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+24) 62-67 (+12)  87-92        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    W  9 G16     SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     SW 13        
DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 18 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER
20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 11.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 7. HIGHS 14 TO 24. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-052045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
236 PM EST FRI FEB 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+8)   41-46 (+2)   20-25        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+18)  61-66 (+10)  88-93        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G18     W 10 G20     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     W 13         
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 19 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 10.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 5. HIGHS 13 TO 25. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-052045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
236 PM EST FRI FEB 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+8)   40-45 (+3)   19-24        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+14)  57-62 (-7)   86-91        21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G21    W  8 G17     W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     SW 13        
DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 9.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 4. HIGHS 11 TO 26. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-052045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
236 PM EST FRI FEB 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+5)   41-46 (+4)   21-26        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 60-65 (-14)  91-96        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17    W  5         SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     SW 12        
DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW.
LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 11.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 6. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS
TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-052045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
236 PM EST FRI FEB 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+6)   42-47 (+3)   21-26        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  60-65 (-22)  88-93        19-24        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     W  5         SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     W 13         
DISPERSION                         76 GOOD                   34 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS AROUND
11. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 6. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-052045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
236 PM EST FRI FEB 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+7)   42-47 (+3)   21-26        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+23) 58-63 (+3)   88-93        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G20    W  8         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     SW 12        
DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW.
LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 13.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 8. HIGHS 15 TO 26. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-052045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
236 PM EST FRI FEB 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+5)   41-46 (+5)   22-27        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+20) 50-55 (-5)   87-92        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G20    W  6         SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     SW 13        
DISPERSION                         90 GOOD                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 13.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 8. HIGHS 19 TO 29. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-052045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
236 PM EST FRI FEB 4 2011 /136 PM CST FRI FEB 4 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+4)   41-46 (+5)   22-27        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+17) 51-56 (-19)  87-92        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     SW 13        
DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW.
LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 13.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 9. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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