
183 
FNUS54 KMRX 041532 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1032 AM EST FRI FEB 4 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVLOPING IN THE GULF WILL SLIDE 
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES AND OFF THE COAST BY 
SATURDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-051645-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1032 AM EST FRI FEB 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+5)   31-36 (+7)   39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+7)   88-93 (+16)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.15         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     W 24         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   80 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND
16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 13.
HIGHS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-051645-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1032 AM EST FRI FEB 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+7)   32-37 (+7)   38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+6)   84-89 (+14)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.15         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     W 22         
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 25. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND
15. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 12.
HIGHS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-051645-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1032 AM EST FRI FEB 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+4)   33-38 (+6)   38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+20)  86-91 (+10)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.14         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW 22        
DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 26. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND
17. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 11.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-051645-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1032 AM EST FRI FEB 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-1)   33-38 (+4)   41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+31)  95-100 (+15) 50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.12         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      SW 22        
DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE
MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND
20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS NEAR 30.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-051645-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1032 AM EST FRI FEB 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-2)   34-39 (+5)   41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+34)  95-100 (+8)  49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.12         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      W 23         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    68 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             7                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND
20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS NEAR 30.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-051645-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1032 AM EST FRI FEB 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+3)   31-36 (+6)   41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+10)  89-94 (+16)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.14         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     W 24         
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               88 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 26. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE
MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND
18. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-051645-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1032 AM EST FRI FEB 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+2)   31-36 (+4)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+9)   91-96 (+16)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       7            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.14         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW 23        
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    86 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND
19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS NEAR 30. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-051645-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1032 AM EST FRI FEB 4 2011 /932 AM CST FRI FEB 4 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+2)   31-36 (+2)   40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+25)  91-96 (+11)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.11         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2100                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      W 21         
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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