
462 
FNUS54 KMRX 040337 AAB
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1037 PM EST THU FEB 3 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SPREAD A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION
INTO PARTS OF THE REGION OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY...THEN MOSTLY
RAIN. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-050445-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1037 PM EST THU FEB 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+7)   39-44 (+6)   30-35        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+6)   51-56 (+7)   90-95        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 13 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    5            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.24         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     W 37         
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   123 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 13.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS 13 TO 27. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-050445-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1037 PM EST THU FEB 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+9)   39-44 (+7)   32-37        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+12)  52-57 (+10)  85-90        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        W 14 G28     
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          90           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.28         0.20         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     W 33         
DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               100 GOOD     

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 27. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 13.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS 15 TO 28.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-050445-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1037 PM EST THU FEB 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+11)  38-43 (+5)   33-38        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+15)  64-69 (+23)  88-93        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 13 G28     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    FRZ RAIN     RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          80           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            6            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.41         0.21         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      W 31         
DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 27. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 14.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS 14 TO 29. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-050445-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1037 PM EST THU FEB 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+10)  40-45 (+1)   34-39        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+26)  71-76 (+33)  95-100       48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    FRZ RAIN     RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          80           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.46         0.19         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      W 24         
DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 27. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 15.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-050445-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1037 PM EST THU FEB 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+10)  42-47 (+1)   35-40        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+29) 73-78 (+31)  95-100       44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        W 10 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    FRZ RAIN     RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          80           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.54         0.19         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      W 30         
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   80 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          6                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 15.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-050445-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1037 PM EST THU FEB 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+7)   39-44 (+3)   31-36        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+18)  62-67 (+22)  89-94        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 13 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    5            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.22         0.25         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      W 35         
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               122 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 14.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS 18 TO 29.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-050445-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1037 PM EST THU FEB 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+8)   38-43 (+3)   31-36        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+19)  66-71 (+25)  90-95        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 11 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     SLEET/RAIN   RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           90           90           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.24         0.30         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2100                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      W 28         
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               95 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 15.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-050445-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1037 PM EST THU FEB 3 2011 /937 PM CST THU FEB 3 2011/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+9)   38-43 (+2)   32-37        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+28)  65-70 (+26)  90-95        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    FRZ RAIN     RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.36         0.17         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1900                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      W 23         
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               66 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS NEAR 50.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 17.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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