
066 
FNUS54 KMRX 030854
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
354 AM EST THU FEB 3 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND 
TONIGHT AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS FROM THE NORTHERN GULF 
OF MEXICO THROUGH THE DEEP SOUTH. AS THE LOW FORMS TONIGHT SOUTHERLY
WINDS ALOFT WILL BRING MOISTURE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION INCREASING THE CHANCE FOR RAIN AND SNOW LATER TONIGHT AND 
THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THE SNOW SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT WITH ANY 
ACCUMULATION MAINLY LIMITED TO HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS. SNOW SHOULD 
CHANGE TO RAIN EVERYWHERE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS THE MILDER 
SOUTHERLY FLOW STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES.   


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-041000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
354 AM EST THU FEB 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-6)   23-28 (+6)   40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-20)  77-82 (+2)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     SW 10        
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 13.
HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-041000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
354 AM EST THU FEB 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-7)   24-29 (+8)   39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-19)  83-88 (+9)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.30         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     SW 10        
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN WITH SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 13.
HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-041000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
354 AM EST THU FEB 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-3)   26-31 (+10)  37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-18)  95-100 (+21) 64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.43         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  5                      SW  9        
DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN WITH SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 14.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-041000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
354 AM EST THU FEB 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+2)   27-32 (+8)   39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-21)  95-100 (+22) 70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.59         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      S  7         
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 27. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 15.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-041000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
354 AM EST THU FEB 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+3)   27-32 (+8)   39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-17)  95-100 (+20) 73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.66         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     S  8         
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI             3                         8            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 26. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 15.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-041000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
354 AM EST THU FEB 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-3)   25-30 (+7)   40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-18)  82-87 (+9)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.26         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  5                      SW  7        
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 14.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-041000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
354 AM EST THU FEB 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-2)   27-32 (+8)   38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-8)   81-86 (+10)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.28         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  8                     SW  8        
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN WITH SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 15.
HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-041000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
354 AM EST THU FEB 3 2011 /254 AM CST THU FEB 3 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+1)   29-34 (+9)   38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-10)  90-95 (+23)  62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  9 G17                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.47         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      1900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     S  7         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN WITH SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 17.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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