
530 
FNUS54 KMRX 021528 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1028 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

.DISCUSSION...
THE STRONG STORM SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT RAIN TO THE AREA ON TUESDAY 
...WILL BE SLOWLY MOVING AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST TODAY. HOWEVER...THE 
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BRING MUCH COOLER AIR INTO THE REGION 
...PULLING TEMPERATURES BACK FIFTEEN TO TWENTY DEGREES BELOW THE 
WARMTH EXPERIENCED ON TUESDAY. ALSO...THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT 
BETWEEN THE POWERFUL LOW PRESSURE CENTER OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST... 
AND ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE CENTER OF 
THE NATION...WILL KEEP STRONG WESTERLY WINDS IN PLACE THROUGH PART 
OF THE DAY...BEFORE WEAKENING THIS AFTERNOON.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-031630-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1028 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-12)  16-21 (-16)  33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-12)  88-93 (+4)   34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 17 G35                  NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G26     NW 11 G20    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 35                      NW 10        
DISPERSION            94 GOOD                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-031630-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1028 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-10)  17-22 (-15)  34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-27)  83-88 (-5)   31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 18 G37                  NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G28     NW 13 G27    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 35                      NW 13        
DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...RAIN OR CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-031630-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1028 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-12)  16-21 (-15)  36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-35)  87-92 (-2)   24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 17 G42                  N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G24     NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      N  8         
DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...RAIN OR SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-031630-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1028 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-15)  20-25 (-12)  41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-32)  81-86 (-10)  23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G31                  N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G19    N 10 G19     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      N 10         
DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...RAIN OR SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-031630-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1028 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-13)  20-25 (-13)  43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-38)  81-86 (-12)  20-25        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G29                  N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G22    N 10 G18     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      NW  8        
DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               11 POOR      
MAX LVORI             3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS NEAR 30.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...RAIN OR SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-031630-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1028 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-15)  18-23 (-16)  37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-18)  86-91 (+1)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 16 G30                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G26     NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      N  7         
DISPERSION            95 GOOD                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-031630-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1028 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-17)  19-24 (-13)  37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-23)  83-88 (-2)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 14 G29                  NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     NW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      N  9         
DISPERSION            78 GOOD                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-031630-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1028 AM EST WED FEB 2 2011 /928 AM CST WED FEB 2 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-18)  20-25 (-8)   39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-27)  81-86 (-4)   30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G28                  N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G20    N 10 G17     NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      N 13         
DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS NEAR 30.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...RAIN OR SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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