
758 
FNUS54 KMRX 012001
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
301 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN SHOWERS WILL INCREASE OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING AS A STRONG 
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION.  
THIS SYSTEM WILL ALSO BRING HIGH WINDS TO THE MOUNTAINS AND THEIR 
IMMEDIATE FOOTHILLS TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BECOME SHARPLY COOLER 
ON WEDNESDAY WHEN A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-022115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
301 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+4)   39-44 (-13)  16-21        34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+8)   35-40 (-23)  82-87        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 17 G30                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 18 G34    W 15 G27     W 10 G21     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM                      
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM        7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.02         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 35                      N  7         
DISPERSION                         113 VERY GOOD             16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS NEAR
30. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-022115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+5)   39-44 (-11)  17-22        35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+7)   34-39 (-28)  76-81        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 18 G32                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 24 G48    W 16 G29     NW 12 G26    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 36                      NW  7        
DISPERSION                         86 GOOD                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS NEAR 30.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-022115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
301 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-5)   37-42 (-12)  16-21        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 35-40 (-30)  80-85        22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 18 G37                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 28 G56     W 13 G28     NW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 31                      NE  7        
DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID
40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS NEAR 30.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-022115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-8)   37-42 (-15)  20-25        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 37-42 (-29)  78-83        21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G26                  N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 20 G41     NW 11 G20    N  9 G18     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      NE 10        
DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-022115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-5)   38-43 (-13)  20-25        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  34-39 (-34)  77-82        18-23        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G23                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 16 G29    NW 11 G20    N 10 G17     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      NE  7        
DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   17 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-022115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
301 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (0)    39-44 (-15)  18-23        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+10)  36-41 (-23)  80-85        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 15 G25                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 15 G32    W 13 G24     W  8 G18     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 32                      N  7         
DISPERSION                         116 VERY GOOD             16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS NEAR
30. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-022115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
301 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-8)   37-42 (-17)  19-24        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 39-44 (-22)  76-81        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 14 G23                  NE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 17 G31     W 12 G23     NW  7        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            10           0            
PRECIP DURATION       6                         1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM                      
PRECIP END            7 AM                      7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.00         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      NE 10        
DISPERSION                         104 VERY GOOD             25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-022115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
301 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011 /201 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-11)  36-41 (-18)  20-25        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  40-45 (-22)  77-82        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G22                  NE  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 17 G31     NW 11 G21    N  9 G17     NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      NE 14        
DISPERSION                         91 GOOD                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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