
501 
FNUS54 KMRX 010846
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
346 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN SHOWERS WILL INCREASE OVER THE AREA TODAY AS A STRONG LOW 
PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS TO THE WEST. THIS SYSTEM WILL ALSO BRING HIGH 
WINDS TO THE MOUNTAINS AND THEIR IMMEDIATE FOOTHILLS LATE THIS 
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BECOME SHARPLY COOLER ON 
WEDNESDAY WHEN A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-021000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
346 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+5)   39-44 (+5)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-12)  81-86 (-7)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     SW 18 G31    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 11 G27     SE 16 G34    W 16 G29     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            7            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.63         0.02         
LAL                   1            2            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      W 43         
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   152 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 22. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-021000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
346 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+3)   41-46 (+7)   44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-10)  84-89 (+1)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G18                 SW 20 G39    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 17 G40     SE 25 G47    W 17 G29     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            7            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.77         0.01         
LAL                   1            2            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 29                      W 44         
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   111 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-021000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
346 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    40-45 (+4)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-2)   83-88 (-2)   35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G22                  SW 20 G41    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 20 G45     S 30 G56     W 14 G29     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            6                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.80         0.00         
LAL                   1            3            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 37                      W 36         
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   77 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 24. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-021000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
346 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   38-43 (0)    40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-5)   81-86 (-3)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G20                 SW 17 G39    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 17 G36     S 20 G42     W 12 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            6                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.77         0.00         
LAL                   1            3            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 37                      W 30         
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   87 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 24. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-021000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
346 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (0)    40-45 (+3)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-5)   80-85 (-6)   31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G16                 W 14 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 13 G26    SE 15 G31    W 14 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            6                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.89         0.00         
LAL                   1            3            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 37                      W 35         
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   95 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             5                         2            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-021000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
346 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+4)   42-47 (+6)   44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-16)  79-84 (-8)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 18 G31    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 10 G24     E 14 G31     W 15 G28     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            7            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.67         0.01         
LAL                   1            2            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      W 40         
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   144 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 22. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 26. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-021000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
346 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+1)   35-40 (-4)   37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-12)  83-88 (-2)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5 G15                 SW 16 G32    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 12 G24    SE 14 G31    W 14 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.59         0.00         
LAL                   1            3            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      W 35         
DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               136 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-021000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
346 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011 /246 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-2)   31-36 (-10)  34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-9)   83-88 (-1)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G18                 W 16 G29     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G25     S 15 G29     W 13 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.61         0.00         
LAL                   1            3            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 30                      W 32         
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   117 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 25. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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