
751 
FNUS54 KMRX 312001
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
301 PM EST MON JAN 31 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TONIGHT.  HOWEVER...THE MAIN WEATHER MAKER WILL BE A STRONG 
COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO 
WEDNESDAY...BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAIN AND STRONG WINDS AROUND THE 
MOUNTAINS AND THEIR IMMEDIATE FOOTHILLS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED 
TO REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL UNTIL WEDNESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-012115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
301 PM EST MON JAN 31 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+4)   51-56 (+4)   37-42        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-2)   57-62 (-7)   95-100       43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 18 G32    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     SE 12 G26    W 16 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.46         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 17                      W 38         
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   132 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 17 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 23. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-012115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EST MON JAN 31 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+1)   49-54 (+2)   36-41        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-7)   58-63 (-6)   95-100       35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      SW 19 G38    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        S 11 G21     SE 16 G34    W 17 G31     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.56         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      W 29         
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 20. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-012115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
301 PM EST MON JAN 31 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-1)   49-54 (0)    34-39        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-6)   59-64 (-4)   95-100       29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G16                  SW 19 G42    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S 13 G26     S 19 G42     W 14 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.08         0.57         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 22                      W 24         
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 24. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-012115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EST MON JAN 31 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (0)    52-57 (-2)   34-39        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-6)   62-67 (-6)   95-100       33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7                     SW 15 G37    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 11 G21    SE 15 G33    W 12 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           100          20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.11         0.54         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 25                      W 15         
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-012115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EST MON JAN 31 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+3)   51-56 (0)    35-40        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-5)   62-67 (-9)   95-100       29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     W 12 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 10 G19    SE 13 G26    W 14 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.10         0.62         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      W 16         
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-012115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
301 PM EST MON JAN 31 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+1)   52-57 (+2)   36-41        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-4)   59-64 (-6)   95-100       41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 17 G30    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  8 G18    SE 11 G23    W 15 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         0.52         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      W 30         
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   110 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 18 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 26. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-012115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
301 PM EST MON JAN 31 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (0)    53-58 (0)    34-39        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-4)   61-66 (-7)   95-100       41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 15 G29    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  9 G16    S 12 G24     W 14 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           100          20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.09         0.48         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 21                      W 25         
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   101 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-012115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
301 PM EST MON JAN 31 2011 /201 PM CST MON JAN 31 2011/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (0)    54-59 (-2)   33-38        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-5)   63-68 (-6)   94-99        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     W 14 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 10 G20    S 13 G24     W 13 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           100          20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.14         0.46         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 25                      W 20         
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               73 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

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