
372 
FNUS54 KMRX 310916
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
416 AM EST MON JAN 31 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH TUESDAY...HELPING TO TRIGGER SCATTERED 
SHOWERS THROUGH THE PERIOD. A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL THEN AFFECT 
THE REGION ON TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...BRINGING STRONG WINDS 
AROUND THE MOUNTAINS AND THEIR IMMEDIATE FOOTHILLS. TEMPERATURES ARE 
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL UNTIL WEDNESDAY...WHEN A COLD FRONT 
MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-011030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
416 AM EST MON JAN 31 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-14)  34-39 (+4)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+26)  88-93 (-5)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  5        S 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      SW 16        
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MUCH COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 22. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-011030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
416 AM EST MON JAN 31 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-13)  36-41 (+3)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+21)  77-82 (-16)  57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  7        S 16 G34     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      SW 13        
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...WINDY. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 30 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 30 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE WEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MUCH COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-011030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
416 AM EST MON JAN 31 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-12)  38-43 (+1)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+17)  82-87 (-11)  58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S 19 G42     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.02         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     S 20         
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...VERY WINDY. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
15 TO 40 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 TO
15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 16 TO 24.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-011030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
416 AM EST MON JAN 31 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-10)  39-44 (+1)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+25)  92-97 (0)    59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SE  6        S 16 G38     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.02         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      S 24         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...WINDY. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 30 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 24.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-011030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
416 AM EST MON JAN 31 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-13)  38-43 (+4)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+30)  95-100 (+4)  61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SE  6        SE 13 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.02         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      S 22         
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             6                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 25 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-011030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
416 AM EST MON JAN 31 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-14)  36-41 (+1)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+25)  82-87 (-11)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  5         S 10 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      S 13         
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-011030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
416 AM EST MON JAN 31 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-12)  39-44 (0)    55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+21)  85-90 (-8)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 11 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            2            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      S 23         
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 24.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-011030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
416 AM EST MON JAN 31 2011 /316 AM CST MON JAN 31 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-10)  41-46 (0)    56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+22)  90-95 (-2)   55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        S 12 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.02         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            2            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      S 28         
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 24.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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