
861 
FNUS54 KMRX 302018
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
315 PM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

...BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH TUESDAY...HELPING TO TRIGGER SCATTERED 
SHOWERS THROUGH THE PERIOD. A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL THEN AFFECT 
THE REGION ON TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...BRINGING STRONG WINDS 
AROUND THE MOUNTAINS AND THEIR IMMEDIATE FOOTHILLS. TEMPERATURES ARE 
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL UNTIL WEDNESDAY...WHEN A COLD FRONT 
MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-312045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
315 PM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+2)   49-54 (-10)  34-39        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  58-63 (+17)  92-97        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE  6        S 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.08         0.14         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      SW 23        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 
20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 
MUCH COLDER. LOWS AROUND 20. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 
TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-312045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-3)   48-53 (-10)  34-39        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 59-64 (+19)  91-96        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7 G16                 S  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  8 G17    SE  8 G16    S 16 G34     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         0.10         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      SW 23        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...WINDY. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 TO 15 
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 
COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-312045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
315 PM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-5)   49-54 (-10)  36-41        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+17) 60-65 (+23)  91-96        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  8 G16     S 19 G42     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.07         0.09         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      S 23         
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...VERY WINDY. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 
40 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 TO 15 
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 25. NORTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S 
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-312045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-1)   53-58 (-9)   39-44        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+18)  59-64 (+18)  91-96        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     SE  8 G16    S 16 G38     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.09         0.09         0.19         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      S 26         
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...WINDY. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 
30 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS 
IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 
TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 
20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-312045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+2)   51-56 (-11)  39-44        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+15)  64-69 (+24)  92-97        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     SE  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE  6        SE 13 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.07         0.07         0.16         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      S 24         
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               33 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 
25 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID TO 
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-312045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
315 PM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+4)   52-57 (-10)  37-42        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  58-63 (+20)  91-96        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  5        S 10 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.07         0.12         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      SW 23        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-312045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
315 PM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+3)   53-58 (-10)  38-43        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  59-64 (+17)  91-96        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6 G15     S 11 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.10         0.14         0.21         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      S 25         
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 20 TO 25. NORTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
MID 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-312045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
315 PM EST SUN JAN 30 2011 /215 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+2)   55-60 (-9)   41-46        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+8)   60-65 (+16)  91-96        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  8 G15     S 12 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.15         0.12         0.26         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      S 31         
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 
20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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