
451 
FNUS54 KMRX 292002
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
300 PM EST SAT JAN 29 2011

.DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION UNTIL WEDNESDAY. A STRONG STORM SYSTEM IS 
EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...BUT 
WILL BE WARM ENOUGH TO BRING MOSTLY RAIN TO THE REGION.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-302100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
300 PM EST SAT JAN 29 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+8)   50-55 (0)    33-38        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-4)   48-53 (+2)   87-92        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      S 13         
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-302100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST SAT JAN 29 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+4)   49-54 (-1)   33-38        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   48-53 (+4)   88-93        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G15     SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  9 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      S 14         
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-302100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
300 PM EST SAT JAN 29 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+1)   51-56 (-3)   34-39        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+10)  47-52 (+6)   91-96        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5 G15    SW  5        S  5         S  9 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      S 13         
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE 
AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE TEENS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE TEENS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S 
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-302100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST SAT JAN 29 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+4)   56-61 (-3)   37-42        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-2)   43-48 (+5)   89-94        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      S 14         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-302100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST SAT JAN 29 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+6)   56-61 (-4)   36-41        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-9)   42-47 (+6)   85-90        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      S 13         
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   31 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-302100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
300 PM EST SAT JAN 29 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+9)   53-58 (-1)   35-40        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+4)   47-52 (+4)   88-93        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      S 12         
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO 
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-302100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
300 PM EST SAT JAN 29 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+7)   55-60 (-3)   37-42        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (0)    47-52 (+5)   87-92        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      S 14         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-302100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
300 PM EST SAT JAN 29 2011 /200 PM CST SAT JAN 29 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+6)   59-64 (-3)   39-44        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-9)   42-47 (+5)   86-91        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  9         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      S 15         
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 
MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 
10 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 
40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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