
741 
FNUS54 KMRX 272006
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
305 PM EST THU JAN 27 2011

...BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING...BRINGING A FEW SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS 
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE. A WARMING TREND WILL 
THEN DEVELOP OVER THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-282100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
305 PM EST THU JAN 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+3)   37-42 (+4)   24-29        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-13)  51-56 (-5)   88-93        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G17                  SW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      W 29         
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-282100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EST THU JAN 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+5)   37-42 (+4)   24-29        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-11)  50-55 (-5)   88-93        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G23                  SW  9 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G21     W  7 G17     W 11 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      W 29         
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-282100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
305 PM EST THU JAN 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+6)   38-43 (+2)   25-30        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-12)  47-52 (-4)   84-89        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G23                  SW 11 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G21    NW  8 G17    W  5         W 11 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      W 28         
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO MID 30S. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-282100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EST THU JAN 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+5)   43-48 (+3)   27-32        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-11)  42-47 (-8)   82-87        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G17                  SW  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G16    NW  7        LGT/VAR      W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      W 24         
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-282100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EST THU JAN 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+5)   42-47 (+3)   27-32        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-13)  43-48 (-6)   78-83        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G19                  SW  5 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G19    LGT/VAR      W  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     W 25         
DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-282100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
305 PM EST THU JAN 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+1)   40-45 (+3)   26-31        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-10)  46-51 (-4)   86-91        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G21                  SW  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G17     LGT/VAR      W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      W 28         
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-282100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
305 PM EST THU JAN 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+2)   42-47 (+3)   27-32        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-8)   45-50 (-7)   82-87        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G17                  SW  9 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        NW  6        LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      W 25         
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-282100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
305 PM EST THU JAN 27 2011 /205 PM CST THU JAN 27 2011/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+4)   45-50 (+3)   28-33        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-7)   42-47 (-7)   82-87        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G17                  SW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G16    NW  6        LGT/VAR      W  9         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     W 25         
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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