
716 
FNUS54 KMRX 250809
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
309 AM EST TUE JAN 25 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY 
REGION WILL BRING RAIN...A WINTRY MIX...OR SNOW TO THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIANS BY LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SOME ACCUMULATING 
SNOW COULD OCCUR BY LATE WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY FOR THE HIGHER 
ELEVATIONS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-260915-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
309 AM EST TUE JAN 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   31-36 (+5)   37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-3)   82-87 (+8)   66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  6         NW  6 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           90           100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.28         0.52         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     S  6         
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 16 TO 24. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 19 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-260915-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
309 AM EST TUE JAN 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   33-38 (+8)   37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+2)   80-85 (+8)   60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G17    W  9 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       2            4            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.31         0.54         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     SW 10        
DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 14 TO 23. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 15 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-260915-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
309 AM EST TUE JAN 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (0)    35-40 (+5)   37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+16)  83-88 (+11)  60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5 G16    NW 11 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.41         0.44         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      W 13         
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
11 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LESS
THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 12 TO 24. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-260915-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
309 AM EST TUE JAN 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-3)   35-40 (+4)   40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+20)  95-100 (+11) 66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         LGT/VAR      NW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       6            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.49         0.34         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     W 10         
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 15 TO 25. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 26. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-260915-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
309 AM EST TUE JAN 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-5)   35-40 (+7)   41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+26)  95-100 (+3)  62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         E  8 G19     NW 12 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       6            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.48         0.35         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     W 10         
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               33 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             6                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 16 TO 24. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 25. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-260915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
309 AM EST TUE JAN 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+1)   33-38 (+7)   39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+6)   82-87 (+9)   66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  6         W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.30         0.46         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1900                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     W  8         
DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 17 TO 24. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 25. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-260915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
309 AM EST TUE JAN 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (0)    34-39 (+4)   38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+11)  86-91 (+9)   64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        NW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       2            7            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.45         0.37         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      NW 12        
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 19 TO 25. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-260915-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
309 AM EST TUE JAN 25 2011 /209 AM CST TUE JAN 25 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-3)   34-39 (0)    40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+10)  87-92 (+6)   60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         NE  6        NW 11 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION       6            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.55         0.27         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     NW 16        
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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