
084 
FNUS54 KMRX 242016
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
316 PM EST MON JAN 24 2011

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS WILL THICKEN TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 
DEVELOPS OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION. THIS SYSTEM WILL 
BRING RAIN...A WINTRY MIX...OR SNOW TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY 
LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW COULD 
OCCUR BY LATE WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-252130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
316 PM EST MON JAN 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+2)   41-46 (+3)   32-37        36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+6)   41-46 (-8)   87-92        75-80        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           90           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    1            4            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.30         0.49         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     E 10         
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
19 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 14 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO
UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS
TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-252130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EST MON JAN 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+4)   41-46 (+3)   33-38        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+8)   35-40 (-5)   84-89        73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      E  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION                    1            4            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.33         0.52         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     SE 10        
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
19 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 13 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS
TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-252130-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
316 PM EST MON JAN 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+7)   40-45 (0)    35-40        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+6)   43-48 (+11)  85-90        77-82        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            7            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.15         0.43         0.44         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     SE  3        
DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
17 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 11 TO 23. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE TEENS TO
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-252130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EST MON JAN 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+3)   43-48 (-2)   36-41        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+19)  49-54 (+17)  90-95        74-79        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.17         0.51         0.34         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      E  3         
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 24. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-252130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EST MON JAN 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+2)   44-49 (-2)   37-42        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+18) 48-53 (+16)  95-100       76-81        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.18         0.50         0.35         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      S  5         
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          5                         10           

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-252130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
316 PM EST MON JAN 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (0)    43-48 (+1)   33-38        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   41-46 (+2)   85-90        68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.32         0.46         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1800                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     E 10         
DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 16 TO 23. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-252130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
316 PM EST MON JAN 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+2)   42-47 (-1)   34-39        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+10)  46-51 (+10)  85-90        72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.09         0.47         0.37         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1600                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     NE 12        
DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-252130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
316 PM EST MON JAN 24 2011 /216 PM CST MON JAN 24 2011/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+3)   44-49 (-2)   35-40        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+17)  49-54 (+18)  85-90        67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        NE  5        LGT/VAR      NW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.16         0.57         0.27         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      NE  9        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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