
512 
FNUS54 KMRX 232006
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
306 PM EST SUN JAN 23 2011

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS WILL THICKEN TONIGHT INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A LOW PRESSURE 
SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION. THIS 
SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN...A WINTRY MIX...OR SNOW TO THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIANS BY LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
306 PM EST SUN JAN 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (0)    37-42 (+8)   24-29        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+12)  43-48 (-6)   82-87        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM                     CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     SW 12        
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 16 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
306 PM EST SUN JAN 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (+2)   36-41 (+7)   23-28        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+8)   39-44 (-5)   78-83        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM                     CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW  7        
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 15 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-242115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
306 PM EST SUN JAN 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (+6)   39-44 (+9)   28-33        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+6)   35-40 (-5)   68-73        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        S  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.01         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     SW  7        
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-242115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
306 PM EST SUN JAN 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+6)   43-48 (+6)   28-33        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+1)   34-39 (-3)   81-86        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  6         SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.01         0.16         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      S  9         
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-242115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
306 PM EST SUN JAN 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+5)   43-48 (+5)   26-31        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+6)   32-37 (-1)   82-87        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.01         0.18         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      S  8         
DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
306 PM EST SUN JAN 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (+3)   40-45 (+8)   24-29        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+10)  39-44 (-5)   82-87        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           10           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.01         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW  8        
DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 30.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
306 PM EST SUN JAN 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+5)   42-47 (+8)   26-31        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+8)   37-42 (-4)   85-90        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.02         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     SW 12        
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 30.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-242115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
306 PM EST SUN JAN 23 2011 /206 PM CST SUN JAN 23 2011/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+6)   44-49 (+5)   27-32        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+5)   37-42 (-1)   89-94        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         S  6         E  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.03         0.20         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 17                      S 13         
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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