
974 
FNUS54 KMRX 200954
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
454 AM EST THU JAN 20 2011

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL WARM 
TEMPERATURES INTO THE 40S AND LOWER 50S TODAY.  THE COLD FRONT WILL 
PUSH INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY 
MORNING...BRINGING A CHANCE FOR SNOW...WITH ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED 
OVER THE NORTHERN VALLEY AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AND POSSIBLY OVER 
PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL VALLEY. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-211100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
454 AM EST THU JAN 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+4)   17-22 (-7)   22-27        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-10)  94-99 (+9)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        W  8 G16     W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          20           
PRECIP DURATION                    6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     NW 21        
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 20. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 24. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-211100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
454 AM EST THU JAN 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+6)   17-22 (-6)   21-26        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-11)  93-98 (+4)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W 12 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        W  8 G19     W  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          30           
PRECIP DURATION                    6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     NW 23        
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 9 TO 20. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 23. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-211100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
454 AM EST THU JAN 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+10)  18-23 (-5)   25-30        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-9)   90-95 (+5)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        NW  8 G16    N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          20           
PRECIP DURATION                    6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     NW 17        
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 7 TO 22. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-211100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
454 AM EST THU JAN 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+10)  21-26 (-4)   31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-7)   84-89 (0)    24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        NW  7        N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    3                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     N 18         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 22. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 24. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-211100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
454 AM EST THU JAN 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+8)   22-27 (-2)   33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-6)   82-87 (-2)   22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        NW  6        N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    3                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     N 22         
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 22. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 24. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-211100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
454 AM EST THU JAN 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+5)   19-24 (-6)   26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-8)   93-98 (+9)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        W  7 G15     W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          0            
PRECIP DURATION                    5                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.12         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     NW 17        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 24. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-211100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
454 AM EST THU JAN 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+6)   19-24 (-6)   29-34        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-8)   89-94 (+6)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         NW  7        N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          0            
PRECIP DURATION                    5                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     NW 16        
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 23. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-211100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
454 AM EST THU JAN 20 2011 /354 AM CST THU JAN 20 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+9)   21-26 (-5)   31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-5)   83-88 (-2)   27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         NW  8        N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    2                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     N 18         
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 25. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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