
287 
FNUS54 KMRX 191937
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
237 PM EST WED JAN 19 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA TONIGHT. THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM 
IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THURSDAY 
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...BRINGING A CHANCE FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
237 PM EST WED JAN 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-8)   39-44 (+3)   17-22        22-27        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  60-65 (-2)   95-100       45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            100          30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     NW 24        
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 18. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
237 PM EST WED JAN 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-9)   39-44 (+3)   17-22        21-26        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  57-62 (-4)   95-100       44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 12 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            100          40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     NW 28        
DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 23. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. EAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-202045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
237 PM EST WED JAN 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-7)   41-46 (+3)   16-21        24-29        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-1)   52-57 (-6)   95-100       35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         SW  5 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            100          30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     NW 20        
DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 6 TO 19. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 9 TO 23. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-202045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
237 PM EST WED JAN 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-8)   47-52 (+5)   19-24        30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-5)   50-55 (-5)   95-100       30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           0            
PRECIP DURATION                                 2                         
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM                      
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     N 22         
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 20. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 23. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-202045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
237 PM EST WED JAN 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-9)   48-53 (+6)   19-24        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  49-54 (-5)   95-100       27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE 10 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           0            
PRECIP DURATION                                 2                         
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM                      
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     NW 26        
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    37 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          8                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 20. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 23. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
237 PM EST WED JAN 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-7)   43-48 (+4)   20-25        26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+2)   53-58 (-6)   95-100       40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            100          20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.11         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     NW 20        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 19. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
237 PM EST WED JAN 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-7)   44-49 (+5)   20-25        27-32        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-3)   48-53 (-11)  92-97        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            100          0            
PRECIP DURATION                                 7                         
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.10         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     NW 17        
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 20. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 24. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-202045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
237 PM EST WED JAN 19 2011 /137 PM CST WED JAN 19 2011/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-8)   46-51 (+4)   21-26        29-34        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-9)   48-53 (-7)   81-86        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5 G17    N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           0            
PRECIP DURATION                                 3                         
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.10         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     N 21         
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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