
775 
FNUS54 KMRX 190945
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
445 AM EST WED JAN 19 2011

.DISCUSSION...
PATCHY DRIZZLE...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH A FEW FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW 
OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS...WILL END FROM EAST TO WEST THIS MORNING.  
DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR MOVES IN FOR THE AFTERNOON.  THE NEXT 
WEATHER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...BRINGING A CHANCE FOR 
ACCUMULATING SNOW.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-201045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
445 AM EST WED JAN 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-6)   21-26 (-8)   41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-15)  95-100 (+3)  57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      4 PM         
PRECIP END            1 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      SW 10        
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS 13 TO 26. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 9 TO 16. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-201045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
445 AM EST WED JAN 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-5)   20-25 (-9)   40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-12)  95-100 (+1)  54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      4 PM         
PRECIP END            1 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS 14 TO 27. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 7 TO 18. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-201045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
445 AM EST WED JAN 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-3)   22-27 (-7)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-19)  88-93 (-3)   50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      4 PM         
PRECIP END            1 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      SW 14        
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS 11 TO 27.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
TEENS TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 6 TO 18. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-201045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
445 AM EST WED JAN 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-2)   24-29 (-8)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-26)  91-96 (-5)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     SW 13        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY OR CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS 17 TO 28.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 11 TO 20. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-201045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
445 AM EST WED JAN 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-3)   23-28 (-9)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-23)  95-100 (+1)  47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     SW 14        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               9 POOR       
MAX LVORI             6                         7            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY OR CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 13 TO 20. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-201045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
445 AM EST WED JAN 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-3)   23-28 (-7)   44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-15)  91-96 (0)    50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      4 PM         
PRECIP END            1 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      SW 10        
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS 16 TO 27. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 10 TO 18. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-201045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
445 AM EST WED JAN 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-3)   24-29 (-7)   45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-19)  86-91 (-6)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     SW 10        
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR RAIN LIKELY. LOWS 18 TO 28. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 12 TO 19. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-201045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
445 AM EST WED JAN 19 2011 /345 AM CST WED JAN 19 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-2)   25-30 (-8)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-25)  86-91 (-8)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     SW 12        
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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