
391 
FNUS54 KMRX 190150 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
850 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
OVERNIGHT...BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF A LIGHT WINTRY MIX OF 
PRECIPITATION. ANOTHER STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL THEN QUICKLY MOVE 
THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING...BRINGING A 
BETTER CHANCE FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW...MAINLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-200300-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
850 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-3)   36-41 (-6)   21-26        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 63-68 (-11)  82-87        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                4 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                     CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.01         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      SW 18        
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 7 TO 13. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-200300-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
850 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-2)   36-41 (-5)   20-25        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 59-64 (-12)  81-86        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G17                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7 G17     LGT/VAR      S  7 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                4 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                     CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.01         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      SW 16        
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
20S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 20 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 7 TO 15. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-200300-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
850 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-3)   38-43 (-3)   21-26        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 53-58 (-22)  82-87        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                4 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                     CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.01         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      SW 18        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 19 TO 27.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 8 TO 16. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-200300-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
850 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+1)   42-47 (-2)   23-28        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  54-59 (-25)  82-87        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   4 PM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     SW 17        
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
20S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 10 TO 17. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-200300-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
850 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+1)   42-47 (-3)   22-27        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  50-55 (-26)  82-87        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      S  8         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   4 PM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     SW 18        
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   3 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
20S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 11 TO 16. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-200300-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
850 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-1)   39-44 (-3)   23-28        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+9)   61-66 (-11)  82-87        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                4 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                     CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.01         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      1800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      SW 14        
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
20S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 8 TO 15. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-200300-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
850 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-1)   39-44 (-3)   23-28        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 58-63 (-17)  84-89        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   FRZ RAIN     NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      1800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     SW 16        
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 10 TO 17. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-200300-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
850 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 /750 PM CST TUE JAN 18 2011/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+1)   42-47 (-2)   24-29        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 50-55 (-28)  84-89        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   1 PM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     SW 16        
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 5 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 13 TO 18. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

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