
443 
FNUS54 KMRX 181953
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
255 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TONIGHT...BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF A LIGHT WINTRY MIX OF 
PRECIPITATION. ANOTHER STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL THEN QUICKLY MOVE 
THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING...BRINGING A 
BETTER CHANCE FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-192045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
255 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-3)   36-41 (-6)   21-26        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 63-68 (-11)  82-87        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        W  6         LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                4 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                     CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.01         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      SW 18        
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER TO MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 
TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 8 TO 13. NORTHWEST WINDS 
5 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-192045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-2)   36-41 (-5)   20-25        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 59-64 (-12)  81-86        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G17                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7 G17     LGT/VAR      S  7 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                4 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                     CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.01         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      SW 16        
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 
20S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 20 MPH 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 10 TO 15. NORTHWEST WINDS 
5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-192045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
255 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-3)   38-43 (-3)   21-26        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+9)   53-58 (-22)  82-87        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                4 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                     CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.01         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      SW 18        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 
20S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 15 MPH 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 8 TO 16. NORTHEAST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S 
TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S. 
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-192045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+1)   42-47 (-2)   23-28        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  54-59 (-25)  82-87        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   4 PM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     SW 17        
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 
20S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S 
TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 12 TO 17. NORTHEAST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 
TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-192045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+2)   42-47 (-3)   22-27        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  50-55 (-26)  82-87        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      S  8         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   4 PM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     SW 18        
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   3 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 
20S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S 
TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 11 TO 16. NORTH WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 
TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-192045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
255 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-1)   39-44 (-3)   23-28        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 61-66 (-11)  82-87        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                4 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                     CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.01         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      1800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      SW 14        
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 
20S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 10 TO 15. NORTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 
TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-192045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
255 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-1)   39-44 (-3)   23-28        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+8)   58-63 (-17)  84-89        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   FRZ RAIN     NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      1800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     SW 16        
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 
20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S 
TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 12 TO 17. NORTHEAST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 
TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-192045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
255 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 /155 PM CST TUE JAN 18 2011/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-1)   42-47 (-2)   24-29        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+5)   50-55 (-28)  84-89        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   1 PM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     SW 16        
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 
MID TO UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE 
NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE TEENS. NORTHEAST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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