
376 
FNUS54 KMRX 180740
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
240 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011

.DISCUSSION...
AN APPROACHING WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THOUGH THE REGION TONIGHT.  
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THEN A 
STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-190845-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
240 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+1)   29-34 (-3)   37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+13)  94-99 (+6)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.10         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     NW 16        
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 17 TO 25.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-190845-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
240 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+3)   29-34 (-2)   36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+6)   90-95 (+3)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.07         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     NW 18        
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 19 TO 25.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-190845-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
240 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+1)   29-34 (-3)   38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+15)  90-95 (+5)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           20           
PRECIP DURATION       6            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.08         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     NW 12        
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH INCREASING TO
5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
LOWS 18 TO 26. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-190845-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
240 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-1)   33-38 (+2)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+11)  86-91 (-7)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     NW 10        
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-190845-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
240 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-2)   34-39 (+3)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+12)  88-93 (-4)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     NW 14        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   19 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             6                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-190845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
240 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (0)    31-36 (0)    39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+12)  88-93 (+3)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.08         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     W 13         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-190845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
240 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-1)   31-36 (-1)   40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+9)   90-95 (+3)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     NW  8        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-190845-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
240 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 /140 AM CST TUE JAN 18 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-1)   31-36 (-1)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+11)  90-95 (+3)   51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2100                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     NW  8        
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR
50. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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