
199 
FNUS54 KMRX 170858
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
358 AM EST MON JAN 17 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK BY WELL TO OUR SOUTH 
TODAY...THEN ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION ON TUESDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-181000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
358 AM EST MON JAN 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+1)   31-36 (+5)   41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+10)  90-95 (+5)   74-79        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      SW 17        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-181000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
358 AM EST MON JAN 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-2)   31-36 (+4)   41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+15)  90-95 (+14)  67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      SW 15        
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 15.
HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-181000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
358 AM EST MON JAN 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (0)    31-36 (+3)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+12)  86-91 (+17)  67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            6            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      SW 21        
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 25.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 18.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-181000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
358 AM EST MON JAN 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-2)   31-36 (+5)   43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+17)  95-100 (+10) 73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            6            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      S 23         
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-181000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
358 AM EST MON JAN 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-1)   31-36 (+6)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+12)  93-98 (+7)   75-80        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            6            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     SW 21        
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               21 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             5                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-181000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
358 AM EST MON JAN 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-2)   30-35 (+5)   43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+19)  86-91 (+4)   67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      S 15         
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 15.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-181000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
358 AM EST MON JAN 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-2)   31-36 (+3)   43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+19)  87-92 (+9)   66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            6            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.17         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      SW 23        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-181000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
358 AM EST MON JAN 17 2011 /258 AM CST MON JAN 17 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-3)   32-37 (+3)   44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+17)  91-96 (+10)  70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.06         0.18         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      SW 25        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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