
353 
FNUS54 KMRX 161932
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
232 PM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTH THROUGH 
TUESDAY...BRINGING GREATER CHANCES OF RAIN TO THE AREA. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
232 PM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (0)    38-43 (-1)   32-37        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+5)   65-70 (+11)  91-96        72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  6        S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            4            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.11         0.26         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      SW 17        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 23. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS 17 TO 27. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
232 PM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+3)   37-42 (-3)   32-37        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   59-64 (+9)   89-94        67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     SE  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        SE  8 G16    S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            4            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.11         0.23         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      SW 15        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-172045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
232 PM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+6)   39-44 (-1)   32-37        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (0)    53-58 (+4)   95-100       70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        S  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            4            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.18         0.22         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      SW 21        
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 25.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-172045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
232 PM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+6)   42-47 (-5)   32-37        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+5)   60-65 (+17)  95-100       75-80        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  7        S  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            4            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.22         0.21         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      S 23         
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S
TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 25.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-172045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
232 PM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+9)   42-47 (-6)   32-37        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+8)   60-65 (+17)  95-100       76-81        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE  7        S  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            4            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.19         0.21         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 13                     SW 21        
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               21 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 23. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
232 PM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+1)   40-45 (-4)   32-37        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+2)   60-65 (+15)  89-94        73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            4            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.13         0.24         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      S 15         
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
232 PM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+3)   42-47 (-3)   33-38        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-3)   59-64 (+13)  91-96        71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.25         0.22         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      SW 23        
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-172045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
232 PM EST SUN JAN 16 2011 /132 PM CST SUN JAN 16 2011/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+5)   42-47 (-4)   33-38        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+4)   60-65 (+13)  92-97        73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  5        S  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            6            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.31         0.19         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      SW 25        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S
TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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