
111 
FNUS54 KMRX 160842
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
342 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE REGION TODAY.  A 
STRONGER SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA MONDAY AND TUESDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-170945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
342 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-3)   25-30 (0)    40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+29)  95-100 (+13) 62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      S 14         
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-170945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
342 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-2)   27-32 (+3)   39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+28)  90-95 (+10)  58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      S 15         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID
40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-170945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
342 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+1)   30-35 (+6)   41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+27)  87-92 (+11)  54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      S 14         
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-170945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
342 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   30-35 (+8)   44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+26)  95-100 (+10) 54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     S 16         
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID
20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-170945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
342 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+5)   29-34 (+10)  43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+26)  95-100 (+12) 54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      S 17         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    25 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             8                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-170945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
342 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-2)   26-31 (+1)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+27)  95-100 (+11) 61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      S 12         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 30. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-170945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
342 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-3)   28-33 (+2)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+22)  91-96 (+6)   62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         FRZ RAIN     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     S 14         
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-170945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
342 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011 /242 AM CST SUN JAN 16 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-2)   30-35 (+6)   44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+28)  94-99 (+11)  56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.16         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     S 17         
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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