
949 
FNUS54 KMRX 152007
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
307 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE
INTO THE REGION TONIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING. A STRONGER SYSTEM WILL 
BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY WITH WARMER 
TEMPERATURES CONTINUING AND A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN.  

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-162130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
307 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+7)   34-39 (-5)   25-30        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+11)  61-66 (+26)  95-100       64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     FRZ DRZL     NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      S 16         
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-162130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
307 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+6)   34-39 (-3)   24-29        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+10)  57-62 (+22)  95-100       61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     FRZ DRZL     NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      S 17         
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-162130-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
307 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+8)   37-42 (0)    27-32        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+6)   58-63 (+23)  93-98        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     FRZ DRZL     NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      S 15         
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-162130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
307 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+8)   39-44 (-1)   29-34        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+8)   57-62 (+22)  95-100       56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         RAIN     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     S 16         
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE MID
20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-162130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
307 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+10)  40-45 (0)    29-34        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-3)   55-60 (+20)  95-100       56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     S 17         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               40 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-162130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
307 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+9)   35-40 (-6)   26-31        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+9)   60-65 (+26)  95-100       63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     FRZ DRZL     NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      S 13         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-162130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
307 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+7)   35-40 (-8)   27-32        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+10)  62-67 (+25)  93-98        63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     FRZ DRZL     NONE         RAIN     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      S 17         
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-162130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
307 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011 /207 PM CST SAT JAN 15 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+9)   38-43 (-5)   28-33        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+8)   55-60 (+22)  94-99        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         FRZ RAIN     RAIN   
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     S 18         
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

DGS/TD

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