
736 
FNUS54 KMRX 150854
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
354 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO CONTROL OUR WEATHER TODAY.  A WEAK 
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING.  A 
STRONGER SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO AFFECT THE AREA EARLY IN THE WEEK.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-161000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
354 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+4)   23-28 (+5)   35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+3)   89-94 (+14)  60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/FZ RA   
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 12         
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-161000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
354 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+5)   23-28 (+6)   36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+7)   88-93 (+15)  56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/FZ RA   
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 14         
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-161000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
354 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+5)   23-28 (+5)   39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+5)   88-93 (+19)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W  8         
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER
40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-161000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
354 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+5)   23-28 (+5)   41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+3)   95-100 (+16) 51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NW  6        
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-161000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
354 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+5)   23-28 (+7)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   95-100 (+17) 50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW  7        
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   11 POOR      
MAX LVORI             4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-161000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
354 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+6)   24-29 (+6)   37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+4)   91-96 (+8)   58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   NONE   
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      
PRECIP END                         7 AM                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W  9         
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS
IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-161000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
354 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+5)   25-30 (+6)   38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+6)   90-95 (+11)  57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   NONE   
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      
PRECIP END                         7 AM                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      W  7         
DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-161000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
354 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011 /254 AM CST SAT JAN 15 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+4)   25-30 (+5)   40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+8)   95-100 (+16) 53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW  6        
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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