
516 
FNUS54 KMRX 120928
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
428 AM EST WED JAN 12 2011

.DISCUSSION...
BRISK WESTERLY WINDS WILL PULL COLDER AIR INTO THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIANS TODAY AND THURSDAY.  SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES ARE ALSO 
EXPECTED WITH ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL MAINLY EXPECTED ACROSS THE 
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.  A WARMING TREND IS THEN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY 
THE END OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-131030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
428 AM EST WED JAN 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-9)   13-18 (-3)   23-28        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-3)   90-95 (+1)   57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 13 G23                  W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G22     NW 12 G22    NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.06         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 29                     NW 18        
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 7 TO 12. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 21. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-131030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
428 AM EST WED JAN 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-9)   11-16 (-3)   21-26        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-11)  84-89 (-6)   57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 16 G28                  NW  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G28     NW 15 G28    NW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           50           
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.10         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 32                     NW 21        
DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 6 TO 12. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 20. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-131030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
428 AM EST WED JAN 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-10)  10-15 (-2)   21-26        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-3)   95-100 (+2)  56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G21                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     NW  9 G20    N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           50           
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.09         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     N 13         
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 4 TO 12. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 20. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-131030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
428 AM EST WED JAN 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-8)   12-17 (-3)   24-29        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+1)   87-92 (+2)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G17    NW  8 G17    N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     N 14         
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 7 TO 13. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 21. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-131030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
428 AM EST WED JAN 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-7)   13-18 (-2)   24-29        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-6)   85-90 (-1)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G20                 N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G20    NW 10 G20    NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM         1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 28                     N 17         
DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             3                         2            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 7 TO 12. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-131030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
428 AM EST WED JAN 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-7)   14-19 (-2)   25-30        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-7)   83-88 (0)    55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G21                  W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G21     W 11 G20     W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      NW 13        
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 13. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 21. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-131030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
428 AM EST WED JAN 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-7)   13-18 (-3)   25-30        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-9)   84-89 (+1)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     NW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     NW 10        
DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 22. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-131030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
428 AM EST WED JAN 12 2011 /328 AM CST WED JAN 12 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-8)   12-17 (-4)   26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-7)   76-81 (-1)   50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G17                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G18    NW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     N 12         
DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 12. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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