
440 
FNUS54 KMRX 111927
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
227 PM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

.DISCUSSION...
BRISK WESTERLY WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL PULL COLDER AIR INTO 
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.  SNOW SHOWERS OR 
FLURRIES ARE ALSO EXPECTED WITH ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL EXPECTED 
ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.  A WARMING TREND IS THEN EXPECTED TO 
DEVELOP BY THE END OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-122030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
227 PM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-6)   22-27 (-8)   14-19        22-27        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+4)   61-66 (-11)  80-85        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 14 G28                  NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G23     W 14 G28     W 10 G23     NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     FLURRIES     SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           50           10           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.09         0.06         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 32                     NW 18        
DISPERSION                         80 GOOD                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 14. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 21. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-122030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
227 PM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-6)   21-26 (-8)   13-18        21-26        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+1)   55-60 (-17)  79-84        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 17 G35                  NW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G31     NW 18 G35    NW 13 G31    NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.11         0.10         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 36                     NW 21        
DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 4 TO 12. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 19. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-122030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
227 PM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-8)   20-25 (-9)   11-16        22-27        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-6)   57-62 (-15)  81-86        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G22                  N  8 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     NW  9 G18    NW  7 G16    N  8 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.12         0.09         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     N 13         
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 3 TO 13. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 6 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-122030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
227 PM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-8)   24-29 (-7)   14-19        26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-8)   58-63 (-10)  78-83        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G18                 N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G21     NW  9 G18    NW  6 G15    N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     FLURRIES     NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.06         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     N 14         
DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 13. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-122030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
227 PM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-8)   25-30 (-6)   15-20        28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-11)  50-55 (-13)  76-81        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G18                 N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G20    NW 10 G18    NW  7 G15    N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     FLURRIES     FLURRIES     NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.03         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 30                     N 17         
DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   33 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 12. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-122030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
227 PM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-7)   25-30 (-6)   15-20        25-30        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  57-62 (-16)  78-83        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G24                  NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     W 12 G24     W  8 G19     N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     FLURRIES     FLURRIES     NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.04         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 29                     NW 13        
DISPERSION                         84 GOOD                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 7 TO 13. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 20. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-122030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
227 PM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-7)   25-30 (-5)   14-19        26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  57-62 (-18)  76-81        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G17                  NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G20     W  8 G17     NW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     FLURRIES     NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.04         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     NW 10        
DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 7 TO 14. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 20. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-122030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
227 PM EST TUE JAN 11 2011 /127 PM CST TUE JAN 11 2011/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-8)   24-29 (-7)   13-18        26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  56-61 (-17)  74-79        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G19                 N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G20     NW 10 G18    NW  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     FLURRIES     SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     N 12         
DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

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