
158 
FNUS54 KMRX 110853
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

...BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY 
TODAY...BRINGING A WEAK COLD FRONT ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER 
VALLEY. THIS COLD FRONT WILL CREATE SOME SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS 
TODAY...WHICH WILL LINGER OVER THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A 
WARMING TREND IS THEN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY THE END OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-120915-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+5)   16-21 (-7)   22-27        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-1)   90-95 (0)    63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     W 13 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    W 11 G22     W 13 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.06         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     NW 31        
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   77 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
TEENS. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 14. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-120915-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+5)   14-19 (-8)   21-26        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+3)   92-97 (+1)   56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 15 G29    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G19     W 14 G26     NW 15 G30    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.06         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     NW 35        
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               77 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY AND BRISK. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 11 
TO 16. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 6 TO 12. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-120915-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+3)   14-19 (-9)   21-26        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+8)   93-98 (-3)   57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G24     W 14 G27     NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.06         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     NW 26        
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 8 TO 
16. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 18 TO 29. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 3 TO 13. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-120915-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+3)   15-20 (-10)  25-30        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+3)   91-96 (-5)   58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    W 10 G19     NW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           10           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     NW 25        
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   72 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 16. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 13. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-120915-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+2)   15-20 (-10)  26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-4)   89-94 (-5)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     W 12 G21     NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      NW 30        
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   83 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 16. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 12. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-120915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+4)   16-21 (-8)   25-30        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+1)   92-97 (+1)   57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W 11 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    W 12 G21     W 12 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.04         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     NW 29        
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   82 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED FLURRIES. LOWS 12 TO 17. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 13. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-120915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+3)   17-22 (-7)   25-30        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+4)   93-98 (-3)   57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G16                 W  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    W 11 G20     NW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.04         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     NW 25        
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED FLURRIES. LOWS IN THE 
TEENS. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 9 TO 14. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-120915-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EST TUE JAN 11 2011 /500 AM CST TUE JAN 11 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+3)   16-21 (-9)   26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-2)   93-98 (-4)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 NW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     W 10 G19     NW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     NW 25        
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   70 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 17. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. NORTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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