
421 
FNUS54 KMRX 101938
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
238 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST UNITED 
STATES TO OFF THE CAROLINA COASTS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...SPREADING 
WINTRY PRECIPITATION OVER THE AREA. ANOTHER SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE 
AREA WILL THEN FORM OVER KENTUCKY BY TUESDAY...PRODUCING SNOW 
SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...THROUGH THE MIDDLE 
OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-112045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
238 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+10)  32-37 (+4)   16-21        22-27        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 84-89 (+22)  95-100       67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 13 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G21    W 11 G22     W 13 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           70           50           
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.07         0.08         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     NW 32        
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               82 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 11 TO 17.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
18 TO 28. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 14. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. NOT AS COOL.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-112045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
238 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+6)   29-34 (+3)   14-19        21-26        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 81-86 (+21)  95-100       59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 14 G29    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G25    W 15 G32     NW 15 G30    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.04         0.10         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     NW 37        
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    114 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 7 TO 16.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
17 TO 29. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO 12. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-112045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
238 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+3)   27-32 (+1)   14-19        22-27        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 84-89 (+24)  95-100       54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G15                 NW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G22     W 10 G21     NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.07         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     NW 29        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   73 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
8 TO 15. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 15 TO 29. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 4 TO 13. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 30S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-112045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
238 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+1)   30-35 (+3)   17-22        26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 83-88 (+16)  95-100       55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G15                 NW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G22     NW  9 G19    NW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           20           10           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     NW 26        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               92 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 9 TO 16. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 9 TO 14. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-112045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
238 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+1)   31-36 (+4)   17-22        28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  80-85 (+10)  95-100       47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G21     NW  9 G18    NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     NW 32        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               126 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI                          6                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 16. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-112045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
238 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+6)   32-37 (+3)   17-22        25-30        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  79-84 (+17)  95-100       60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 11 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G19    W 11 G23     W 12 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.06         0.07         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     NW 30        
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               111 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED FLURRIES. LOWS 12 TO
17. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 7 TO 13. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-112045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
238 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+3)   31-36 (+2)   17-22        25-30        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 79-84 (+17)  95-100       57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G15                 W  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    W  9 G16     NW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.06         0.03         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     NW 26        
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   85 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED FLURRIES. LOWS 9 TO
15. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 7 TO 14. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-112045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
238 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011 /138 PM CST MON JAN 10 2011/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-1)   30-35 (+1)   18-23        26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 79-84 (+10)  95-100       56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7                     NW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G22     W  8 G19     NW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           10           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     NW 25        
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   79 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 9 TO 17. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 15. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

