
110 
FNUS54 KMRX 091955
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
255 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE LOWER 
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION TONIGHT...AND TRACK EAST ACROSS THE GULF 
COAST STATES ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL SPREAD 
WINTRY PRECIPITATION NORTHEAST TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE 
AREA WILL THEN FORM OVER KENTUCKY BY TUESDAY...CREATING A LINGERING 
CHANCE FOR AT LEAST LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF 
THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-102100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
255 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (+9)   27-32 (+6)   21-26        33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+8)   67-72 (+18)  95-100       82-87        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5                      S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  5         LGT/VAR      SW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           70           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            3            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.10         0.09         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 12                     SW 14        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 13 TO 21.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 10 TO 16. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-102100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (+10)  27-32 (+7)   20-25        31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+6)   65-70 (+21)  95-100       78-83        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6 G15                 S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE  6        W  8 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           70           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            3            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.16         0.10         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      SW 13        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 11 TO 21.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 6 TO 15. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-102100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
255 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (+12)  27-32 (+5)   22-27        30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+9)   66-71 (+23)  95-100       78-83        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 10 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           70           50           
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.24         0.06         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      SW 23        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 8 TO 22.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 7 TO 14. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-102100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (+13)  30-35 (+2)   25-30        33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+11)  66-71 (+28)  95-100       75-80        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  6 G16                  SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.25         0.05         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 13                     SW 22        
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 13 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 15. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-102100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (+12)  30-35 (+1)   26-31        35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+14)  71-76 (+33)  95-100       68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  7 G16                  S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5 G17    E  5         LGT/VAR      W  8 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.30         0.05         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 14                     SW 18        
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   32 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          6                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 14 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 9 TO 15. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-102100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
255 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (+9)   29-34 (+5)   22-27        34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 68-73 (+25)  95-100       77-82        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         E  6         E  5         SW  9 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           60           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.15         0.07         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 12                     SW 14        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
14 TO 21. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 16. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-102100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
255 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (+11)  29-34 (+3)   24-29        33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+9)   66-71 (+27)  95-100       75-80        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     SW  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         NE  6        LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.16         0.06         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 12                      SW 21        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
15 TO 22. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 8 TO 14. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-102100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
255 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011 /155 PM CST SUN JAN 9 2011/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+11)  31-36 (+2)   24-29        34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+15)  64-69 (+30)  95-100       73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  8 G16                  SW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  7 G17     NE  6        LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.19         0.04         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2100                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     SW 20        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 18 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 8 TO 16. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 40. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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