
791 
FNUS54 KMRX 090911
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GULF COASTAL REGION TODAY 
AND MONDAY...AND WILL SPREAD WINTRY PRECIPITATION NORTHEAST TOWARDS 
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION BY LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. ANOTHER 
SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL THEN FORM OVER KENTUCKY BY 
TUESDAY...CREATING A LINGERING CHANCE FOR SNOW THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF 
THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-100900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-1)   15-20 (+11)  30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-6)   81-86 (0)    59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 13                      SE 12        
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY...CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLEET. LOWS IN THE 
20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 
23. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO 
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-100900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-3)   14-19 (+11)  29-34        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-4)   82-87 (-2)   59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.16         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 14                      S 12         
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY...CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLEET. LOWS IN THE 
20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 
23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID  20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO 
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-100900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-3)   18-23 (+14)  28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-12)  85-90 (+3)   67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.17         0.24         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 12                     S 12         
DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY...CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLEET. LOWS IN THE 
20S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 10 TO 
23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER TEENS TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS 
TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO 
LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-100900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-5)   20-25 (+13)  30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-11)  85-90 (+6)   66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.29         0.25         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 12                     SE 13        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND SLEET. LOWS IN THE 
MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 
COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 
MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-100900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-6)   18-23 (+12)  29-34        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-10)  85-90 (+6)   67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.29         0.30         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      SE 14        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   2 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI             4                         6            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND SLEET. LOWS IN THE 
MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO 
THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. 
COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-100900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-2)   17-22 (+11)  31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-4)   83-88 (+2)   60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      1900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      SE 12        
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY...CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLEET. LOWS IN THE 
MID TO UPPER 20S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 
18 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO 
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-100900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-2)   20-25 (+12)  31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-11)  85-90 (+7)   66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        NE  6        E  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.15         0.16         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      1800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 12                     E 12         
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY...CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLEET. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 
18 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 
MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-100900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EST SUN JAN 9 2011 /500 AM CST SUN JAN 9 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-2)   22-27 (+12)  31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-11)  85-90 (+12)  65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  7                     E  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7        E  7 G18     NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.38         0.19         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      1700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 14                     SE 15        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND SLEET. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 
MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 
TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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