
954 
FNUS54 KMRX 071931
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
231 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION OVERNIGHT...BRINGING SNOWFALL TO MOST OF THE AREA. ANOTHER 
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH ON SUNDAY 
AND MONDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW BY EARLY 
NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-082045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
231 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-3)   20-25 (-11)  9-14         23-28        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 51-56 (-19)  82-87        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 13 G23                  W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     NW 11 G19    NW 10 G19    NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.06         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 30                     N  6         
DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 16 TO
22. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 17 TO 24. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
14. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-082045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
231 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-2)   20-25 (-10)  8-13         23-28        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (0)    50-55 (-19)  76-81        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 15 G28                  W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G20     NW 14 G24    NW 13 G25    N  6 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.07         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 37                      N  7         
DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 15 TO 23.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 17 TO 25. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
13. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-082045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
231 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-2)   21-26 (-11)  8-13         26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+4)   49-54 (-22)  82-87        23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 13 G28                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G18    NW 14 G25    NW  8 G20    NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.07         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      NE  8        
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 16 TO 23. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 18 TO 26. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
11. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 9. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-082045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
231 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-2)   26-31 (-11)  11-16        31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+5)   45-50 (-24)  74-79        24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G17                 NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    NW 12 G22    NW  8 G18    NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NE  8        
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW.
LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-082045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
231 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-1)   27-32 (-9)   11-16        33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+5)   42-47 (-29)  72-77        18-23        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G22                 N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    NW 13 G22    NW 10 G21    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     E  5         
DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW.
LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-082045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
231 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-3)   23-28 (-11)  10-15        26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+6)   48-53 (-23)  76-81        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G22                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W 11 G21     NW  8 G18    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 30                      NE  6        
DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 16 TO 23.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-082045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
231 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-2)   26-31 (-9)   12-17        27-32        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+1)   44-49 (-26)  75-80        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G21                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G17     NW 11 G21    NW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     NE  9        
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
20S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-082045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
231 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011 /131 PM CST FRI JAN 7 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-2)   29-34 (-12)  13-18        30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-3)   38-43 (-19)  74-79        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G20                 NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G22    NW 12 G22    NW  8 G19    NE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     NE 13        
DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND
16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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