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435 
FNUS54 KMRX 071603 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1103 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TODAY...BRINGING SNOWFALL TO MOST OF THE AREA...BUT WITH A 
CHANGEOVER TO RAIN OVER SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE 
SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY... 
BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-081715-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1103 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (0)    18-23 (-4)   21-26        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   86-91 (+2)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G15                 W 12 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G15     W  8 G18     NW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.08         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W 26         
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   68 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 7 TO 15. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 17 TO
22. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-081715-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1103 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+2)   17-22 (-4)   20-25        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-5)   87-92 (-2)   50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G21                  W 16 G28     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     W 11 G25     W 16 G28     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.11         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 32         
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED FLURRIES. LOWS 6 TO
15. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 16 TO 23.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
20. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-081715-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1103 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+3)   18-23 (-4)   23-28        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-3)   94-99 (+11)  44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G17                 W 12 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G17     W  9 G20     NW 13 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.11         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 28         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 2 TO 16. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 16 TO 24.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
18. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-081715-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1103 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+2)   22-27 (-4)   28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-5)   95-100 (+13) 39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G15                 W  9 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G23     NW  7 G18    NW 11 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 24         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 6 TO 16. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SNOW OR RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-081715-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1103 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+1)   21-26 (-4)   29-34        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+4)   95-100 (+13) 37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      W 12 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G23     NW 10 G21    NW 14 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.08         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      NW 29        
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               60 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             5                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 7 TO 15. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SNOW OR RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-081715-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1103 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+2)   20-25 (-4)   25-30        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+2)   87-92 (+4)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8                     W 13 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  8 G19     W 13 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.09         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W 28         
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   84 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 16. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 17 TO 24.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SNOW OR RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-081715-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1103 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-1)   22-27 (-3)   28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+3)   92-97 (+7)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     W 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  7 G15     NW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.06         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      W 25         
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 17. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-081715-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1103 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011 /1003 AM CST FRI JAN 7 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+1)   24-29 (-4)   31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-5)   92-97 (+12)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G17                 W 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     NW  8 G18    NW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 25        
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 15. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 20S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SNOW OR RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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