
053 
FNUS54 KMRX 061952
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
252 PM EST THU JAN 6 2011

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION 
TONIGHT...AND PRODUCE AREAS OF SNOW FOR MUCH OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY 
AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. FLURRIES OR SNOW SHOWERS MAY LINGER WELL 
INTO SATURDAY...WITH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND COLD AIR FLOWING INTO 
THE REGION. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-072100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
252 PM EST THU JAN 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-1)   28-33 (-7)   17-22        24-29        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-15)  56-61 (-4)   90-95        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      W 10 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  7         W 10 G19     NW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           60           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.19         0.13         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 32         
DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               103 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 6 TO
15. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 14 TO 23.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS NEAR 30. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS
IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
13. HIGHS 19 TO 28. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE 20S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-072100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
252 PM EST THU JAN 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-3)   28-33 (-6)   18-23        24-29        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-11)  56-61 (-6)   84-89        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G20                  W 13 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     W  8 G18     W 12 G24     NW 13 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           70           60           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.19         0.13         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      W 39         
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   122 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 4 TO
14. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 13 TO 23.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
13. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 9. HIGHS IN THE 20S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-072100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
252 PM EST THU JAN 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-2)   30-35 (-4)   20-25        27-32        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-13)  55-60 (-11)  81-86        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G21                  W 13 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW 10 G20    NW  9 G20    NW 13 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           70           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.17         0.08         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 23         
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 2 TO
16. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 15 TO 25. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-072100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
252 PM EST THU JAN 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-1)   36-41 (-3)   23-28        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-13)  56-61 (-8)   84-89        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G16                 W  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G16     NW  7 G15    NW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.10         0.04         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     NW 21        
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 8 TO 18. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 19 TO 26. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-072100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
252 PM EST THU JAN 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-3)   35-40 (-5)   23-28        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-11)  57-62 (-5)   84-89        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G16                  W 11 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9         NW  9 G18    NW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.09         0.04         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      NW 24        
DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               80 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 9 TO 17. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 19 TO 25. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-072100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
252 PM EST THU JAN 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-2)   32-37 (-4)   21-26        28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-17)  56-61 (-6)   83-88        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         W  6         W  9 G18     W 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.17         0.11         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 32         
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               79 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 6 TO
15. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 16 TO 24.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS
IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-072100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
252 PM EST THU JAN 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-1)   33-38 (-5)   21-26        31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-15)  55-60 (-6)   84-89        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      W 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NW  7        W  7         NW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.11         0.06         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     W 24         
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 18. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 18 TO 26.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-072100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
252 PM EST THU JAN 6 2011 /152 PM CST THU JAN 6 2011/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (0)    38-43 (-3)   25-30        35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-13)  54-59 (-4)   79-84        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G17                 W  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NW 10 G18    NW  8 G17    NW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.08         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     NW 24        
DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               61 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 19. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 17. HIGHS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS NEAR 30.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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