
696 
FNUS54 KMRX 061657 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1157 AM EST THU JAN 6 2011

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION 
TONIGHT...AND PRODUCE AREAS OF SNOW FOR MUCH OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY 
AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. FLURRIES OR SNOW SHOWERS MAY LINGER WELL 
INTO SATURDAY...WITH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND COLD AIR FLOWING INTO 
THE REGION. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-071800-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1157 AM EST THU JAN 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-1)   23-28 (-1)   27-32        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   80-85 (-13)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9         W  8 G18     W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W 18         
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 11 TO 24.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 19. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS AROUND 19.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-071800-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1157 AM EST THU JAN 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-1)   21-26 (-3)   26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-5)   82-87 (-10)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      W  8 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     W  9 G21     W  8 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W 21         
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 14 TO
26. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 9 TO 20. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-071800-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1157 AM EST THU JAN 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-1)   22-27 (-2)   28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-6)   85-90 (-12)  52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     W 11 G24     NW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W 24         
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 14 TO
26. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 7 TO 22. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS AROUND 16.
HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-071800-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1157 AM EST THU JAN 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+1)   26-31 (-1)   33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-16)  81-86 (-16)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  8 G18     W  9 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     SW 24        
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 13 TO 23. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-071800-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1157 AM EST THU JAN 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+1)   25-30 (-3)   32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-20)  82-87 (-15)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         W  9 G20     W  9         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     W 24         
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   59 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 14 TO 22. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS AROUND 17.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-071800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1157 AM EST THU JAN 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-1)   24-29 (-2)   30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-1)   79-84 (-17)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     W  8 G17     W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W 17         
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 15 TO
26. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 21. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS AROUND 20.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-071800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1157 AM EST THU JAN 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+2)   26-31 (-1)   32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-8)   78-83 (-17)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  8 G17     NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SW 18        
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 23. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-071800-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1157 AM EST THU JAN 6 2011 /1057 AM CST THU JAN 6 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+3)   28-33 (0)    35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-14)  80-85 (-15)  53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     W  9 G20     NW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SW 25        
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TG

