
990 
FNUS54 KMRX 060919
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
419 AM EST THU JAN 6 2011

.DISCUSSION...
SEVERAL WEATHER DISTURBANCES...IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE...WILL SWEEP 
ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND PRODUCE SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS. A MORE SIGNIFICANT SNOW SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...AS A LOW PRESSURE
AREA MOVES ALONG THE GULF COAST AND UP THE SOUTHEAST ATLANTIC COAST.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-071030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
419 AM EST THU JAN 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (0)    20-25 (-4)   27-32        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (0)    85-90 (-8)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W 10 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    W  6         W 11 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.10         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      W 25         
DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               78 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 9 TO 22.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 19. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS AROUND 19.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-071030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
419 AM EST THU JAN 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (0)    19-24 (-5)   26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-8)   87-92 (-5)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      W 14 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     W  8 G17     W 14 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.07         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W 31         
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   69 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 12 TO 24.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 20S TO 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 9 TO 20. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-071030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
419 AM EST THU JAN 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+1)   20-25 (-4)   28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-13)  88-93 (-9)   51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 12 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     W  8 G16     W 11 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.09         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      W 26         
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 12 TO
24. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 20S TO 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 7 TO 22. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS AROUND 16.
HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-071030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
419 AM EST THU JAN 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   23-28 (-4)   33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-23)  82-87 (-15)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     W 26         
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   70 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 18 TO 27. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 23. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-071030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
419 AM EST THU JAN 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+4)   23-28 (-5)   32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-28)  82-87 (-15)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     W 10 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     W 30         
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   92 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 19 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 22. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS AROUND 17.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-071030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
419 AM EST THU JAN 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+1)   22-27 (-4)   30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-6)   84-89 (-12)  54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 12 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W  6         W 13 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W 25         
DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 13 TO
24. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 21. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS AROUND 20.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-071030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
419 AM EST THU JAN 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+3)   24-29 (-3)   32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-13)  82-87 (-13)  53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     W  5         SW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W 24         
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               72 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 18 TO
27. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 23. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-071030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
419 AM EST THU JAN 6 2011 /319 AM CST THU JAN 6 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+5)   25-30 (-3)   35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-19)  82-87 (-13)  49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     SW 10 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G18     LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      W 26         
DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               73 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

99

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