
891 
FNUS54 KMRX 300832
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
332 AM EST THU DEC 30 2010

.DISCUSSION...
  
AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIANS TODAY. THE SYSTEM IS RATHER WEAK WITH LIMITED MOISTURE 
AND WILL PRODUCE ONLY VERY LIGHT RAIN...MAINLY ACROSS THE CUMBERLAND 
PLATEAU. IF ANY RAIN OCCURS ELSEWHERE...IT SHOULD BE VERY SPOTTY IN 
NATURE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD ENOUGH EARLY THIS MORNING FOR THE 
POSSIBILITY OF A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...ACROSS 
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL 
STRENGTHEN AFTER SUNRISE AND THIS WILL RESULT IN ENOUGH WARMING TO 
END ANY CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN BY MID MORNING. 

A BETTER DEVELOPED STORM SYSTEM WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FRIDAY 
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY BRINGING A MUCH BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN. 
SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THIS FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR A 
SIGNIFICANT WARM UP. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RISE WELL INTO THE 
MIDDLE AND UPPER 50S ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...WHICH WILL BE ABOUT 
TEN DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-310945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
332 AM EST THU DEC 30 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+9)   31-36 (+2)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-8)   85-90 (+4)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 17        
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-310945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
332 AM EST THU DEC 30 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+8)   31-36 (+2)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-8)   77-82 (+1)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 13        
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-310945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
332 AM EST THU DEC 30 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+5)   33-38 (+4)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-10)  84-89 (+6)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8         S  6         S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      S 20         
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-310945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
332 AM EST THU DEC 30 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+3)   32-37 (+2)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-7)   90-95 (+3)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     SE  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  5        SE  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      S 25         
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-310945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
332 AM EST THU DEC 30 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+1)   29-34 (-1)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-8)   95-100 (+7)  46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      S 24         
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-310945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
332 AM EST THU DEC 30 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+8)   29-34 (+1)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-11)  92-97 (+9)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      S 14         
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-310945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
332 AM EST THU DEC 30 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+7)   31-36 (0)    55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-10)  92-97 (+10)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      S 24         
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-310945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
332 AM EST THU DEC 30 2010 /232 AM CST THU DEC 30 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+4)   33-38 (+1)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-7)   95-100 (+16) 52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      S  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     S  5         S  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1800                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      S 29         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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