
846 
FNUS54 KMRX 292011
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
311 PM EST WED DEC 29 2010

.DISCUSSION...
  
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE MISSISIPPI 
VALLEY TOWARD THE AREA TONIGHT. THE CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL INCREASE 
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...AS THIS 
SYSTEM SHIFTS EAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD ENOUGH LATE TONIGHT 
INTO THURSDAY MORNING FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT 
FREEZING RAIN...ACROSS SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE. 
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN BY THURSDAY MORNING...AND THIS WILL 
RESULT IN ENOUGH WARMING TO END ANY CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN. 
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AT OR ABOVE NORMAL INTO THE UPCOMING 
WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-302115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
311 PM EST WED DEC 29 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+14)  44-49 (+9)   36-41        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+5)   49-54 (-7)   65-70        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.07         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            N/A          
LASI                               2                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                                

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER
40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-302115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
311 PM EST WED DEC 29 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+14)  43-48 (+8)   37-42        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+4)   45-50 (-6)   58-63        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            N/A          
LASI                               2                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                                 

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...

$$

TNZ072-074-302115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
311 PM EST WED DEC 29 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+11)  43-48 (+5)   36-41        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+15)  40-45 (-12)  64-69        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  6         S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            N/A          
LASI                               2                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                                 

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...

$$

TNZ087-102-302115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
311 PM EST WED DEC 29 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+13)  45-50 (+3)   35-40        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+10)  44-49 (-13)  76-81        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE  6        SE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            N/A          
LASI                               2                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 21                      N/A          
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                                

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...

$$

NCZ060-061-302115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
311 PM EST WED DEC 29 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+15)  45-50 (+1)   35-40        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+5)   41-46 (-15)  77-82        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            N/A          
LASI                               2                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                                 
MAX LVORI                          5                                      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-302115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
311 PM EST WED DEC 29 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+13)  44-49 (+8)   34-39        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-1)   50-55 (-7)   72-77        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            N/A          
LASI                               2                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                                

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-302115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
311 PM EST WED DEC 29 2010

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+12)  45-50 (+7)   35-40        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+7)   54-59 (-4)   80-85        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.05         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            N/A          
LASI                               2                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR                            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-302115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
311 PM EST WED DEC 29 2010 /211 PM CST WED DEC 29 2010/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+12)  46-51 (+5)   34-39        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+5)   53-58 (-5)   88-93        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  5         S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.05         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            N/A          
LASI                               2                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2100                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 26                      N/A          
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR                            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...

$$

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