
867 
FNUS54 KMRX 212020
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
320 PM EST TUE DEC 21 2010

.DISCUSSION...
  
A WEAK FRONT WILL TRACK THROUGH THE AREA...BRINGING AREAS OF LIGHT 
RAIN OR DRIZZLE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
320 PM EST TUE DEC 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+5)   38-43 (+2)   21-26        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+16) 72-77 (+1)   92-97        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        NW  5        NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     N 24         
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 17.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
320 PM EST TUE DEC 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+5)   38-43 (-1)   21-26        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+12)  66-71 (+3)   82-87        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      NW  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G19    NW  9 G18    NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     N 23         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 15.
HIGHS IN THE TEENS TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-222130-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
320 PM EST TUE DEC 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+4)   41-46 (-1)   21-26        36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+22) 54-59 (-9)   79-84        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5 G15     NW  6        N  5         NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.02         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     N 18         
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 15.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TEENS TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
TEENS TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-222130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
320 PM EST TUE DEC 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+5)   46-51 (+1)   23-28        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+16) 52-57 (-17)  77-82        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G15     N  6         N  6         N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     N 22         
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 30. EAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-222130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
320 PM EST TUE DEC 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+6)   47-52 (+1)   23-28        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 50-55 (-22)  77-82        24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     N 20         
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   21 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          5                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN OR SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
320 PM EST TUE DEC 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+5)   42-47 (+4)   22-27        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 69-74 (0)    83-88        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     N 16         
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 19.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
320 PM EST TUE DEC 21 2010

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+4)   44-49 (+4)   23-28        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 64-69 (-3)   81-86        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     N 17         
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR RAIN LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 19.
HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
320 PM EST TUE DEC 21 2010 /220 PM CST TUE DEC 21 2010/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+4)   47-52 (+4)   24-29        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+18) 57-62 (-9)   77-82        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     N  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    N  7         N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NE 21        
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN OR SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

