
164 
FNUS54 KMRX 210858
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
358 AM EST TUE DEC 21 2010

.DISCUSSION...
  
HIGH PRESSURE WAS MOVING TO OUR EAST...ALLOWING SOUTHERLY FLOW TO 
DEVELOP THIS MORNING. THIS WARM AIR WILL BE LIFTED OVER A COOL 
AIRMASS...LEADING TO A LIGHT WINTRY MIX THIS MORNING FOR SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE. MOSTLY LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE IS 
EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION LATER TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT...AS 
SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD FRONT. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-221000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
358 AM EST TUE DEC 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+5)   33-38 (+5)   39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+7)   95-100 (+16) 63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.03         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     NW 17        
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS
19 TO 24. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS
IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN
THE TEENS TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 16.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-221000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
358 AM EST TUE DEC 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+8)   33-38 (+5)   38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   90-95 (+12)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.05         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     W 18         
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS
19 TO 25. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN
THE TEENS TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 14.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-221000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
358 AM EST TUE DEC 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+6)   35-40 (+4)   41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+14)  95-100 (+23) 40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  7 G18    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.03         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     NW 15        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 27. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER
30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN
THE TEENS TO 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-221000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
358 AM EST TUE DEC 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+3)   38-43 (+4)   46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+22)  95-100 (+18) 37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  7 G16     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.03         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     NW 14        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 28. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-221000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
358 AM EST TUE DEC 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+2)   39-44 (+5)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+29)  95-100 (+17) 34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.03         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     NW 17        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-221000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
358 AM EST TUE DEC 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+4)   35-40 (+5)   43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+8)   95-100 (+12) 56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.03         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     NW 14        
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND
18. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 17.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-221000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
358 AM EST TUE DEC 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+2)   35-40 (+4)   43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+15)  95-100 (+14) 54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     NW 13        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND
20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-221000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
358 AM EST TUE DEC 21 2010 /258 AM CST TUE DEC 21 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-1)   39-44 (+4)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+20)  95-100 (+19) 46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      NW 15        
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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