
239 
FNUS54 KMRX 200936
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
436 AM EST MON DEC 20 2010

.DISCUSSION...
    
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...BRINGING DRY WEATHER AND 
COOL TEMPERATURES. SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WILL 
INCREASE CLOUDS TONIGHT...LEADING TO A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION BY 
TUESDAY. A WINTRY MIX IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY MORNING...THEN GENERALLY 
ALL RAIN FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-211100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
436 AM EST MON DEC 20 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+3)   26-31 (+13)  39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   83-88 (+7)   69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   SLEET/RAIN   
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      W 16         
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS AROUND
20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 19.
HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-211100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
436 AM EST MON DEC 20 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+3)   24-29 (+11)  39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-5)   80-85 (+5)   58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         FRZ RAIN     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     W 18         
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-211100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
436 AM EST MON DEC 20 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+7)   27-32 (+13)  42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-2)   76-81 (-4)   62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         FRZ RAIN     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      SW 23        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 28.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-211100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
436 AM EST MON DEC 20 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+5)   29-34 (+13)  43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+1)   82-87 (+6)   65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      SW 25        
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S
TO UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 29.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-211100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
436 AM EST MON DEC 20 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+5)   29-34 (+13)  43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+1)   80-85 (+5)   66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         FRZ RAIN     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      SW 23        
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   24 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             5                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-211100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
436 AM EST MON DEC 20 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+2)   26-31 (+10)  40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-3)   90-95 (+12)  63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   FRZ RAIN     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     SW 15        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-211100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
436 AM EST MON DEC 20 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+4)   28-33 (+11)  42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-4)   85-90 (+8)   66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SLEET/RAIN   FRZ RAIN     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  5                     SW 23        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S
TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-211100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
436 AM EST MON DEC 20 2010 /336 AM CST MON DEC 20 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+5)   31-36 (+12)  45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-5)   83-88 (+7)   62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  5                      SW 28        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

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