
310 
FNUS54 KMRX 160937
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
437 AM EST THU DEC 16 2010

.DISCUSSION...
    
SOME ADDITIONAL LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATIONS IS POSSIBLE EARLY THIS 
MORNING.  FREEZING RAIN WILL SLOWLY TRANSITION OVER TO RAIN DURING 
THE MORNING...AS TEMPERATURES WARM RAPIDLY OVER THE REGION.  RAIN 
WILL SLOWLY MOVE OUT OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...AND EVENING AND 
TEMPERATURES WILL REACH UP INTO THE 40S OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-171045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
437 AM EST THU DEC 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+15)  24-29 (+8)   31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+31)  95-100 (+8)  69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        W  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       7            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     NW 14        
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 18 TO 23. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 22. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-171045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
437 AM EST THU DEC 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+14)  24-29 (+7)   31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+34)  95-100 (+6)  63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G17                 W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     W  8 G17     W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SLEET/RAIN   SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       7            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W 18         
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 22. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-171045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
437 AM EST THU DEC 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+12)  25-30 (+4)   34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+37)  95-100 (+8)  54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 12 G28                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G30    W  6 G19     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     SNOW/RAIN    NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       7            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     NW 13        
DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 13 TO 22. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-171045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
437 AM EST THU DEC 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+12)  27-32 (+3)   40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+33)  95-100 (+8)  43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G21                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G22    NW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       7            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     NW 13        
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 24. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-171045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
437 AM EST THU DEC 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+10)  27-32 (+3)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+35)  95-100 (+8)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G19    NW  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       7            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     NW 16        
DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               23 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             9                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-171045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
437 AM EST THU DEC 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+15)  26-31 (+7)   34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+27)  95-100 (+8)  62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G15     W  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     SNOW/RAIN    NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       7            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1700                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     NW 10        
DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 22. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-171045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
437 AM EST THU DEC 16 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+14)  26-31 (+5)   36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+28)  95-100 (+8)  57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       7            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1500                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     NW  9        
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-171045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
437 AM EST THU DEC 16 2010 /337 AM CST THU DEC 16 2010/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+14)  28-33 (+5)   38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+30)  95-100 (+9)  52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G19                 N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G20     NW  5        N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1500                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     NW 13        
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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